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Will the FTSE 100 spike after a weekend of stagnation for UK share prices?

There seems to be little in the way of positives for the FTSE 100 heading into what could be a quiet weekend. Although parts of the British economy are set to kick back into life on 4 July, the government seems to be adopting a wait-and-see strategy.

There seems to be little in the way of positives for the FTSE 100 heading into what could be a quiet weekend. Although parts of the British economy are set to kick back into life on 4 July, the government seems to be adopting a wait-and-see strategy.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak announced on Friday that his summer statement won’t include any big tax cuts. However, with little else in the way of news, traders could be set to mimic Sunak’s approach.

The lack of political action has hurt the FTSE 100 share price. The market opened at 6,240.36 on 3 July but quickly went into a downward spiral. By lunchtime, the index had dropped to 6,151.90 before making a slight recovery to 6,166.20 just after 14:40 (BST).

Looking towards the weekend FTSE 100 markets on IG, no significant changes are predicted. Friday’s closing price (6,144.82) suggests Sunak’s tax position has spooked investors. However, the overall market sentiment seems to suggest no one is willing to commit too heavily one way or the other until he makes his summer budget speech.

Lack of major events suggest weekend of relative stagnation

Sunak’s decision to tread water for at least the next two days is compounded by a US public holiday. With businesses and trading suspended during the 4 July holiday period, little is likely to change on either side of the Atlantic over the weekend. Therefore, the downward trend observed on 3 July is unlikely to shift dramatically when markets reopen on Monday. A weekend plateau should carry through to the early part of next week.

However, what could be interesting to track before the FTSE 100 reopens on 6 July is the leisure and retail sectors. With the two-metre social distancing rule effectively cut in half and various parts of both sectors reopening, high-street activity should increase over the weekend. If the post-lockdown revelry translates into a sales spike, it could be a good time to invest in the FTSE 100.

By taking advantage of the weekend trading options at IG, traders can use the wait-and-see strategy to get ahead of the market on Monday. In essence, if retail, restaurant and hospitality giants like Next and the Compass Group enjoy a profitable weekend, it could give the FTSE 100 share price a boost. Conversely, if talk of local lockdowns deters consumers from heading out, this week’s FTSE 100 price spiral will continue.

Watch for FTSE 100 share price to spike if consumers spend

By this measure, next week’s trading conditions won’t be determined by politicians or big businesses but consumers. A sense of freedom should give the economy a boost, even if it’s nothing more than a fleeting spike. By the close of play on 4 July, it will be clear if this is the case or not. If so, investing in FTSE 100 shares over the weekend could be a positive move.

Sunak has already said he’ll wait and see how things play out. A return to something like normality could prompt a more favourable budget. This, combined with a renewed optimism among businesses and consumers, could see the recent losses turn to gains. At worst, the markets will remain flat this weekend. However, if people take the streets in their droves, don’t be surprised if the FTSE 100 share price spikes on Monday.

How to trade the FTSE 100 this weekend

Did you know? You can trade forex and indices like the FTSE 100 during Saturday and Sunday with IG. Our world-leading trading platform is the only solution to offer weekend trading on indices.

Whether you want to go long (buy) or short (sell) the FTSE 100 based on the above outlook, you don’t have to wait until the markets reopen on Monday to trade.

The weekend prices for indices and forex are quoted separately to their weekday counterparts, based on our view of the prospects for that market given client business and news flow. As a result, you can use these markets to hedge against risk on your weekday positions.

Ready to start trading indices? Open a live account or practise using a demo version today.

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Daily Financial News

ECB Minutes show no indication of exit discussion – MUFG

Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, suggests that the release of the minutes from the September ECB policy meeting were pretty clear with the focus still very much on ensuring continued monetary stimulus.

Key Quotes

“The minutes stated that “there should be no doubt” that the Governing Council is determined to execute asset purchases and also emphasised that it would adopt further measures as required to reach its price stability goal. The minutes also showed that the Governing Council felt it was “crucial” to maintain the high level of monetary accommodation.

Add to that, we had comments yesterday from key ECB Council members to emphasise the maintenance of the current stance. Executive Board member Praet stated that recovery would stall if stimulus was removed prematurely while Constancio was more direct stating that the report on the ECB nearing a taper consensus was simply not correct.

So the stance of the ECB is unlikely to change and we maintain that the ECB will extend QE in December at the current pace with alterations recommended by staff committees allowing for an extension. While that in itself might not drive the euro weaker, it certainly limits the upside as we move toward that key meeting in December.”

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Daily Financial News

Is Your Portfolio’s Performance Satisfactory? (WMT, VOO, BOND)

What’s your investment portfolio’s performance? Do you know? Just 57% of U.S. adults are “financially literate,” according to a study from Standard & Poor’s titled the “2015 Global Financial Literacy Survey.” Another study by a large insurance company found that people are more frightened by planning their finances than dying.  What’s wrong?

Part of the problem is structural: Fewer than half of all U.S. states require high school students to enroll in a personal finance course.

(Audio) Portfolio Report Card on a $4 Million Account for T.R.

The other problem is psychological: People are fearful when it comes to saving and investing money.

Once a person has overcome these obstacles and gotten started with their investment plan, how can they know if their investment portfolio is making progress?

The Case for Benchmarking
The concept of “benchmarking” boils down to measuring the performance of your investments against relevant yardsticks. “Relevant” is key, because measuring performance against irrelevant yardsticks will inevitably lead to irrelevant results.

For example, racing a collie against a field of greyhounds could lead observers to incorrectly assume collies are slow. On the other hand, racing each dog against its corresponding breed will result in a more accurate view of canine speed. If your collie is able to easily outrun a field of competing collies, you have a fast dog. And if he/she can’t outrun a pack of greyhounds, it’s mainly because he/she isn’t a greyhound.

Beyond choosing relevant yardsticks, the exercise of measuring investment performance should become a consistent routine for all investors. Why? Because failing to periodically measure your portfolio’s performance, either by choice or by ignorance, leads to a distorted view of satisfactory results. Moreover, just because you’re comfortable with portfolio’s results doesn’t necessarily make the results satisfactory.

Level 1 Analysis
Benchmarking your investment performance is a layered process. Layer 1 is what I refer to as the “big picture” because it examines your portfolio’s investment performance against relevant passive yardsticks using an asset weighted approach. Let’s look at an example:

Portfolio ABC
30% U.S. stocks
10% International developed stocks
40% U.S. bonds
10% Global real estate
10% Money market (cash)

Comparing the performance results of a portfolio with exposure to different asset classes (like our example of Portfolio ABC shown above) against the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:VOO) is a common mistake. In this example, the vast majority of Portfolio ABC (70%) has non-U.S. equity exposure, which makes an all U.S. equity benchmark like the S&P 500 an irrelevant yardstick for all but Portfolio ABC’s 30% U.S. equity exposure (NYSEARCA:IWB).

Properly measured, the other assets like bonds (NYSEARCA:BOND) and real estate (NYSEARCA:ICF) should have their performance compared to relevant passive benchmarks over the exact same time frame. And together, the asset weighted returns for the passive benchmarks will explain whether portfolio’s performance has been satisfactory or unsatisfactory. Simply put, outperformance over identical time frames is good whereas underperformance isn’t.

Level 2 Analysis
Analyzing investment performance at level 2 is less “big picture” versus level 1. Why? Because level 2 analysis focuses on the performance examination of individual securities versus their respective peer group. Put another way, level 1 analysis is comparable to using a telescope whereas level 2 is comparable to using a microscope.

Below we use level 2 analysis by comparing the performance of Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE:WMT) against its peer industry group, consumer staples (NYSEARCA:XLP). Over the past 10-years, Wal-Mart has gained almost +103% against a +173.10% gain for the Consumer Staples Sector SPDR ETF. In other words, Wal-Mart has badly underperformed its peer group by a whopping +70% over the past 10-years!

WMT vs XLP

Had we failed to use level 2 analysis on Wal-Mart by simply accepting the fact that its stock has gained +102.97%, we could’ve been easily misled to conclude that Wal-Mart’s 10-year equity performance  has been wine and roses. However, our level 2 analysis explicitly shows that Wal-Mart’s 10-year performance record has been substandard compared to its peers.

Because virtually all individual stocks will have a corresponding peer sector group, comparing the performance of a company’s equity performance isn’t just easier, but mandatory for all serious and truthful stockholders.

Summary
The proper way to determine satisfactory investment performance is to use relevant benchmarks over identical time frames. Level 1 analysis examines the portfolio’s asset weighted performance against passive yardsticks, whereas level 2 analysis focuses on the performance of individual securities.

Level 2 analysis can also be applied to mutual fund holdings, however, the fund’s underlying asset exposures vs. its peer group classification are far more important for correct analysis. This is a similar approach I use with the Portfolio Report Card grading system that I invented.

It’s crucial to remember that investment performance is directly impacted by your portfolio’s cost, risk, diversification, and taxes.  And while performance measurement is an ultra important step,  focusing exclusively on historical performance results and nothing else will tell you most of the story, but not all of it.

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EasyMarkets Demo Account Review for Practicing Trading

easymarkets demo account review
    • A 10+ Year Veteran of the Forex Market with a Strong Presence in Europe and Asia
    • One of the Few Brokers to Provide Guaranteed Stop Losses and Negative Balance Protection
    • Deep Product Coverage with CFDs on 95 Forex Pairs and Vanilla Forex Options on 23 pairs
    • Use Exclusive Tool Trade Controller More Effectively, Set Stop Loss and Profit Points For Your Trades
    • Personal Assistance with Trade Strategy and Order Execution from Dealing Room
  • stablished –2003
  • Domicile –Marshall Islands
  • Regulation –
  • Cyprus – CySEC (License Number 079/07), Australia – ASIC (AFSL 246566)
  • Restricted Jurisdictions –United States
  • Ownership –Privately Held
  • Segregated –Yes
  • Broker Type-Market Maker
  • Web Security –Verisign
  • Negative Balance Protection Policy –Yes

The EasyMarkets demo account review platform with a Demo account and experience simulated trading under live market conditions.

  1. No obligations,
  2. no cost
  3. no risk.

Feel the thrill ofEasymarkets Demo Account Review

 

trading the world’s markets, discover our trading platform and see for yourself just how easy we are.

this is the way to improve your techniques and professional traders to hone their skills. Try their trading simulator now for eight days. If you like them you can always open a live account, you’ll also get your lifetime demo account to practice trading strategies before you open live deals

EasyMarkets Demo Account Review Trading Features

EasyMarkets guarantees trade execution at pre-set stop-loss and profit points.  EasyMarkets is able to offer this because of its time tested risk management systems and procedures.  Brokers who do not provide these protections may execute an order at a very different level than your stop levels (also known as slippage), causing you to have much greater losses than anticipated.  Please note that this guarantee is only available for trades placed via EasyMarkets ’s web trading and mobile platform.

EasyMarkets is one of the few brokers with a negative balance protection policy.  Traders can incur a negative balance if the market gaps quickly and the broker is forced to close out open trades at a loss exceeding the account’s equity.  While some brokers begrudgingly forgave negative balances after the CHF crisis on a one-off basis, EasyMarkets is one of the few brokers offer this protection at all times and include it in its terms of service.

This Broker has more in-depth coverage of the markets than most forex brokers.   It offers CFDs on 95 currency pairs, 16 commodities, and 15 indices.  However, its coverage isn’t as broad as other brokers, some of which also offer CFDs on individual shares, bonds and ETFs.

EasyMarkets is one of the few forex brokers to offer vanilla forex options on the same platform.  This means you don’t have to switch to a different platform or broker when you want to options.  You can also use the same pool of funds for your option trades.

This means you don’t have to deal with  the hassle of transferring funds around and avoid withdrawal and deposit fees from other brokers.  EasyMarkets allows you to trade options on 23 currency pairs.  While there are no margin requirements for options, however, you will not be able to sell options unless you have an existing position in the underlying.

EasyMarkets offers up to 200:1 leverage on most currency pairs.  Automated trading available with Expert Advisors via Metatrader 4.

Market Analysis and Education

EasyMarkets provides a number of exclusive tools to help you optimize your trading.  The Inside Viewer allows you to see which are the most popularity traded currency pairs, the percentage of bullish / bearish traders, and the average stop losses and profit points on Easy-Forex.EasyMarkets demo account review

 

Trade Controller is a great tool which aids you in setting and modifying stop loss and profit points for your trades.  Its intuitive visual display allows to see profit / loss levels as both dollar amounts and exchange rates.

EasyMarkets demo account review

You are also given access to Reuters news feeds, exclusive fundamental analysis from EasyMarkets ’s research team, and technical analysis from leading independent research firm, Trading Central.  You can set SMS alerts for fills on limit orders, trade closings, and exchange rate levels.

this Broker has a nice archive of educational articles, videos, and eBooks.  They also have a well maintained YouTube channel where they provide videos on timely topics in the forex markets.  EasyMarkets also hosts the occasional webinar and in person seminar.

easymarkets demo account review Trading Features

  • CFD’s –Forex, Indices, commodities
  • Currency Pairs –95
  • Leverage –up to 200:1
  • Cryptocurrencies –No
  • Options –Forex Options
  • Trading Signals –Yes, Trading Central
  • Automated Trading –Yes
  • Social Trading –No
  • Phone Trading –No

easymarkets demo account review –  Trading Platforms

EasyMarkets demo account review Platforms 

  • Metatrader 4 (PC), Metatrader Multi-terminal (PC), EasyMarkets Web Trader (Browser), Metatrader 4 Mobile (iPhone, Android), EasyMarkets Mobile (iPhone, Blackberry)
  • Metatrader –Yes
  • Mac Software –No
  • Mobile Trading –Yes

easymarkets demo account review –  Customer Service

  • Online Support –Live chat and email
  • Phone Support –Yes
  • Multi-Lingual Support –Yes
  • Personal Account Manager –Dealing Desk Access for VIP accounts (USD 20,000 minimum deposit)

easymarkets demo account review –  Account Options

  • Minimum Initial Deposit –$25
  • Base Currencies –EUR, GBP, USD, CNY, AUD, PLN, ILS, ZAR, NOK, JPY
  • Minimum Lot Size –5,000
  • Account Types –Standard, Premium, VIP
  • Payment Options –Visa, Mastercard, Skrill, Bank Transfers

Safety and Security

asy-Forex is a respected veteran of the forex industry with 10+ years operating history. Its parent company is a privately held company domiciled in the Marshall Islands. EasyMarkets has offices in major financial centers around the world including London, Shanghai, Limassol, Warsaw and Sydney.

EasyMarkets is currently regulated by CySEC in Cyprus and by ASIC in Australia. They previously held coveted US licenses but decided to withdraw in 2010 after regulatory capital requirements were increased twenty fold during the recent financial crisis.

Over its more than a decade long operating history, EasyMarkets has been subject to a few small regulatory fines from CySEC relating to its advertising practices in 2010 and compliances lapses in 2009. There is an Israeli class action lawsuit alleging that Easy Forex provided investment advice without proper licenses.  There was a similar suit in 2010 that was subsequently settled out of court.  Overall, there hasn’t been regulatory action in recent years and the issues above didn’t endanger client funds or integrity of EasyMarkets ’s trading system.

Customer funds are held in segregated accounts in a number of reputable European banks and ANZ bank.  Online payments are secured by Verisign and EasyMarkets is subject to yearly audits by PriceWaterhouseCoopers.

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Trading Forex, Stocks and CFDs carries risk and could result in the loss of your deposit, please trade wisely.

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