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Is Forex Trading Profitable? • Forex in 2020 • Benzinga

You may have seen ads about forex trading and how easy it is to get involved in trading currencies using an online broker. While getting started trading forex is now easier than ever, and brokers eagerly want to attract new clients, the hard part about forex trading is making a profit on a consistent basis.

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You may have seen ads about forex trading and how easy it is to get involved in trading currencies using an online broker. While getting started trading forex is now easier than ever, and brokers eagerly want to attract new clients, the hard part about forex trading is making a profit on a consistent basis.  

Trading forex profitably takes time, education, coming up with a winning strategy, sticking to it in a disciplined manner, maintaining the right trading mindset and a bit of luck. Read on to find out more about whether forex trading is profitable and how forex beginners can get started. 

Simply Put: Will Forex Trading Make You Money?

The simple answer is that forex trading can make you plenty of money if you get in on the right side of the market and then take your profits in a timely manner. 

Of course, you can also lose money just as easily by being on the wrong side of the market and cutting your losses or by letting a winning position turn into a losing one before you get out of it. 

Understanding Forex

To make a forex transaction, you agree to trade or exchange one currency for another at a particular level known as an exchange rate. Those currencies make up a currency pair, and the exchange rate of that pair fluctuates up and down depending on supply, demand and the market’s expectations of what relevant news means for that pair. 

The 1st currency in a currency pair is known as the base currency, while the 2nd currency is called the counter currency. If you buy or sell a currency pair, then you respectively go long or short the base currency against the counter currency. 

To forex traders, a dealing spread is the difference between the exchange rate you can buy at and the exchange rate you can sell at. The tighter that spread, the more competitive a broker is. 

You can profit from a currency trade by either buying in a rising market or selling in a falling one. Fortunately for traders, many currency pairs show substantial market volatility or fluctuations. While these movements can mean profits or losses, depending on how they are positioned, it does at least provide the opportunity to make a profit if your market forecasts are typically accurate. 

To make market forecasts, traders typically use 2 types of analysis. The 1st is technical analysis, which focuses on levels and movements in exchange rates and other market observables. This method seems especially useful for making short-term market forecasts. 

The 2nd is fundamental analysis, which seems better for making longer term forecasts. Fundamental analysts focus on examining news events and other information about economic and financial factors related to currencies and assessing their likely impact on the forex market. 

Who Can Trade Forex?

The forex market used to be very exclusive. The ability to trade forex was largely accessible to major banks, corporations, fund managers and high net worth individuals who typically dealt in millions of dollars. 

Fortunately for smaller retail traders, the rise of online forex broking over the past decade means that virtually anyone with a relatively modern computer or mobile device and access to the internet can now open up an account with an online forex broker. 

This opportunity now allows virtually anyone to trade currencies in the forex market electronically via one of the many forex platforms available, with many traders choosing the popular MetaTrader platforms from MetaQuotes. Retail traders can also access competitive dealing spreads at many online brokers. 

How to Profit From Forex Trading

As with trading in virtually any financial market, determining in advance what side of the forex market you should be on is the true challenge for a forex trader. You can increase your odds of determining the correct future market direction by doing a fundamental or technical analysis before entering or exiting a position. 

You can also increase your chances of making money overall by taking advantage of a timely correct market call and by having the discipline to minimize your losses in case your view turns out to be wrong. Many swear by using sound money management techniques and having the right trading mindset to support profitability. 

Forex Trading Strategies

Many successful strategies for trading forex exist, but not all of them are suitable for every trader. You will want to select one that best suits your particular situation, including your available time, personality type and risk tolerance. They will be covered below based on the typical time horizon involved, ranging from short to long term. 

Scalping and Day Trading

Both of these short-term trading strategies are usually followed actively during a particular trading session and generally do not involve taking overnight positions. This can be an advantage due to the reduced exposure to notable market movements while the trader is asleep or not closely focused on their trading screens. 

Day traders establish positions during a particular trading session and exit them before that session ends. The forex market trades around the clock from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon EST, so you need to decide what trading session to operate in. 

Scalpers are day traders who focus on taking multiple small profits on positions with an extremely short duration. They typically enter and exit trades in seconds or minutes, which is a very fast-paced activity that doesn’t suit everyone. 

They usually trade while looking at price charts, need very quick reaction times, as well as tight dealing spreads and virtually instantaneous deal executions — so your choice of broker is very important. For example, a scalper might look for patterns with predictive value on very short term tick charts like the one shown below for EUR/USD to help inform their trading decisions. 

Tick chart for EUR/USD beside a trade entry box. Source: MetaTrader 5

Swing or Momentum Trading

Swing trading, sometimes called momentum trading, is a medium-term trading strategy that typically requires holding overnight positions. Swing traders can establish positions both in the direction of and against the underlying market trend. 

This strategy generally focuses on getting into and out of trades based on technical indicators that provide a sense of market momentum and show buy and sell signals. You can use momentum indicators to identify overbought or oversold markets to sell or buy into, respectively. You could also try to buy ahead of support and sell ahead of resistance levels that appear on exchange rate charts.

Examples of popular momentum indicators could include the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The 4-hour candlestick chart below shows the MACD and RSI displayed in the indicator boxes below the exchange rate for EUR/USD. 

Shown is a 4-hour chart for EUR/USD with MACD and RSI indicators. 
Source: MetaTrader 5

Trend Trading

This popular longer-term forex trading strategy involves following the prevailing trend or directional movement in the market for a particular currency pair. Trend trading often involves buying on pullbacks in up trends or selling on rallies in down trends. 

Once a position is established, you could then hold it until your objective for the trend is seen or the trend shows signs of reversing. Many traders use trailing stop loss orders to protect profits in case the trend shows a significant reversal.

Trend trading typically includes technical analysis and review charts to determine what direction the underlying trend is moving in, and then aim to trade along with it. The monthly candlestick chart below for EUR/USD shows an upward trend in progress after a significant decline. 

Monthly chart for EUR/USD showing a down trend followed by an up trend. Source: MetaTrader 5

Best Forex Brokers for Trading

If you think forex trading is right for you, and you want to get started right away, then you can check out any of Benzinga’s top picks for forex brokers below and start the process of opening an account today. You can also open a demo account to try the broker out and practice trading before committing any real funds. 

Is Forex Trading Right for You?

Forex trading certainly has its risks and rewards. The currency market has made millionaires out of paupers and helped others lose their fortunes. Since most currency traders lose money, trade only with risk capital you can afford to lose completely. 

Also, make sure to do everything in your power to learn how to trade and analyze the markets, develop a winning strategy and cultivate a successful trading mindset. 

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Donald Trump blasts ‘fools’ who oppose good Russian ties

US President-elect Donald Trump has posted a progression of tweets censuring the individuals who contradict great relations with Russia as “‘dumb’ individuals, or nitwits”.

Mr Trump promised to work with Russia “to comprehend a portion of the numerous… squeezing issues and issues of the WORLD!”

His remarks came after an insight report said Russia’s leader had attempted to help a Trump race triumph.

Mr Trump said Democrats were to be faulted for “gross carelessness” in permitting their servers to be hacked.

In a progression of tweets on Saturday, Mr Trump said that having a decent association with Russia was “no terrible thing” and that “lone “idiotic” individuals, or simpletons, would believe that it is awful!”

He included that Russia would regard the US increasingly when he was president

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Bulls and Bears Took on More Currency Exposure in Week Through January

he most striking improvement among theoretical situating toward the finish of a year ago and the primary session of 2017 is not that modification were little. There was just a single gross theoretical position modification of more than 10k contracts. With sterling apparently not able to maintain even humble upticks, the bears added 13.1k contracts to the gross short position, lifting it to 120.2k contracts.

Or maybe, it is eminent that examiners for the most part added to positions, long and short, as opposed to close positions at the very end of the year. Examiners added to net long outside cash prospects positions, aside from in the Japanese yen and Swiss franc where 2.6k and 2.5k contracts were exchanged separately. Examiners likewise added to gross short positions. Here there was just a single exemption, the Japanese yen. Despite the fact that the dollar shut comprehensively higher in front of the end of the week, every one of the monetary forms we track here, spare the Mexican peso, picked up against the dollar in the three sessions since the finish of the CFTC reporting period.

Every once in a while it is helpful to review why many market members take a gander at the theoretical situating in the cash fates advertise. It is not that the outside trade is essentially a prospects showcase. It is principally an over-the-counter market in which every day turnover midpoints in abundance of $5 trillion a day.

Trade exchanged monetary forms and alternatives represented around 3% of the normal day by day turnover as indicated by the BIS study. Be that as it may, past reviews have discovered some contemporaneous connection between’s market heading and net position changes. We think it additionally offers knowledge into a specific market section of pattern supporters and energy brokers. It is not by any means the only device, yet one of a few data sources.

One ramifications of this is albeit theoretical positions in the money fates market are moderately extensive, it is still little contrasted and the money showcase. Along these lines, it is difficult to see the genuine essentialness of a record vast position, as though there is some market top. At some point, examiners are not driving the costs, possibly there is another fragment, national banks, enterprises, as well as genuine cash that is more essential at any given minute.

We invest some energy taking a gander at gross positions instead of just net theoretical positions, which is the more customary approach. We think a more granular look is frequently fundamental. There is a distinction between short-covering, for instance, and new purchasing, however it appears to be identical in the net. Additionally, the gross position is the place the introduction is not the net position. A net position of zero does not mean the market is nonpartisan. Net positions could be huge, which implies a short press or a negative stun could in any case troublesome. The positions that must be balanced are captured in the gross measure not the net figure.

We find numerous customers are likewise keen on theoretical situating in the US Treasuries and oil. The net and gross short theoretical Treasury position has swelled to new records. The bears added 23.8k contracts to the as of now record net short position, lifting it to 616.2k contracts. The bulls attempted to pick a base and added about 20k contracts to the gross long position, which now remains at 471.2k contracts. These modification prompted to a 3.8k contract increment in the net short position to 344.9k contracts.

The bulls delayed in the oil prospects toward the finish of 2016. They exchanged short of what one thousand contracts, leaving 608.1k gross in length contracts. The bears added 4.1k contracts to the gross short position, giving them 168k. These conformities trimmed the net long position by very nearly 5k contracts to 440.1k.

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3 ways to profit in the ‘year of the dollar’

In December, the Federal Reserve raised loan fees for the second time since the Great Recession and included the desire of a 2017 financing cost climb to its gauge. Furthermore, only a couple days prior, the abundantly anticipated minutes from the most recent Fed meeting demonstrated the most hawkish tone from the national bank in two years.

In the meantime, Europe has been dove into political turmoil after a year ago’s Brexit vote and the later abdication of Italy’s leader. Somewhere else, the Bank of Japan proceeds down the way of negative rates and forceful security purchasing.

Put it all together, and it isn’t astounding that the U.S. Dollar Index is up against 14-year highs.

Speculators may have missed so much discussion on account of babble about the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the end of the day almost hitting 20,000. Be that as it may, paying little respect to your assignment to stocks or your venture skyline, this sort of huge picture incline in the dollar implies right now is an ideal opportunity to position your portfolio to benefit and, maybe most critical, to keep away from a portion of the pitfalls that can originate from a solid local cash.

Here are a couple ideas dollar exchanges ought to consider:

Residential plays over multinationals

There’s a considerable measure of seek after shopper stocks in 2017 on account of an enhancing work market and any desires for a jolt under a GOP-controlled Congress and President Donald Trump. In any case, remember that not all retailers are made equivalent especially those with abroad operations that are adversely affected by the wide dissimilarity in monetary standards at this moment.

For example, retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc.(WMT) said troublesome money trade rates shaved very nearly 2.5% off profit for each partake in the second quarter of 2016. On the other hand consider that in the monetary final quarter of 2016, athletic attire goliath Nike Inc.(NKE) saw its income development cut down the middle because of forex weights, from 12% year-over-year in consistent cash measures to only 6% including real money changes.

To take advantage of the “reflation” exchange that numerous financial specialists are counts on in 2017, you need to represent the headwinds that a solid dollar are making for multinationals at this moment. The most ideal approach to do that is to consider customer plays that do by far most of their business here in the U.S. – for example, Foot Locker Inc.(FL), which has been an uncommon splendid spot in retail throughout the most recent couple of years.

Supported money ETFs

Obviously, in the event that you need a steady portfolio, you can’t just purchase just local centered values. Geographic expansion is similarly as imperative as enhancement crosswise over parts and resource classes. Such a large number of financial specialists keep on holding worldwide plays in light of a legitimate concern for a balanced portfolio, regardless of the possibility that it implies battling a daunting struggle as a result of a solid dollar.

The uplifting news, notwithstanding, is that you don’t need to leave yourself to torment through a solid dollar and a powerless euro when you put resources into Europe. Nor do you need to stress over the yen-dollar conversion standard when you put resources into Japan. That is on account of there’s an entire group of cash supported ETFs to permit financial specialists to put their cash in outside business sectors yet keep away from forex issues.

Consider that Japan’s Nikkei 225 file is up around 25% from its July 2016 lows. The WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund(DXJ) is up 35% in a similar period on account of assurance from forex issues and a somewhat better-performing rundown of stocks – while the non-supported iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ) is up only 10% in a similar period because of battling a difficult task against a solid dollar.

In the event that you need to differentiate your portfolio comprehensively, you ought to consider supported assets that incorporate the Japan-centered DXJ, the WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund(HEDJ) to play Europe or the iShares money Hedged MSCI EAFE ETF (HEFA) for developing markets.

Dollar list ETF

In the event that you are searching for an immediate play on a rising dollar as opposed to putting resources into stocks, figuring out how to exchange remote trade can appear like an overwhelming undertaking. Gratefully, there’s the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP).

This ETF is attached to the U.S. Dollar Index, which is a measure of the greenback against a wicker container of other worldwide monetary standards including the yen and the euro. It’s a straight money play, however that doesn’t make it straightforward or hazard free. In the event that the dollar debilitates, you’ll lose cash similarly as though you’re putting resources into a stock that has fallen on difficult circumstances. Furthermore, obviously, PowerShares takes a little cut of your speculations en route that indicates 0.8% yearly, or $80 a year on each $10,000 contributed.

Still, in the event that you need to conjecture on the dollar or support against a solid U.S. cash keeping down other worldwide ventures on your rundown, it’s maybe the least demanding approach to do as such for generally financial specialists.

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